Gut Feelings: The Intelligence of the Unconscious
Author(s): Gerd Gigerenzer
First published: 2007
Gut feelings are the result of unconscious mental processes-processes that apply rules of thumb that we’ve derived from our environment and prior experiences. But gut feelings are not things to run away from, they lead to good practical decisions, and underlie the moral choices that make our society function.
Simple Heuristics That Make Us Smart
Author(s): Gerd Gigerenzer
First published: 2000
Fast and frugal heuristics-simple rules for making decisions when time is pressing and deep thought an unaffordable luxury.
Risk Savvy: How to Make Good Decisions
Author(s): Gerd Gigerenzer
First published: 2007
Anyone can learn to make better decisions for their health, finances, family, and business without needing to consult an expert or a supercomputer, and Gigerenzer shows us how.
The Drunkard’s Walk: How Randomness Rules Our Lives
Author(s): Leonard Mlodinow
First published: 2008
Our lives are profoundly informed by chance and randomness and everything from wine ratings and corporate success to school grades and political polls are less reliable than we believe.
How Not to Be Wrong: The Power of Mathematical Thinking
Author(s): Jordan Ellenberg
First published: 2014
Ellenberg chases mathematical threads through a vast range of time and space, from the everyday to the cosmic.
The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail-But Some Don’t
Author(s): Nate Silver
First published: 2012
How can we distinguish a true signal from a universe of noisy data?
Fooled by Randomness: The Hidden Role of Chance in Life and in the Markets
Author(s): Nassim Nicholas Taleb
First published: 2005
An investigation of opacity, luck, uncertainty, probability, human error, risk, and decision-making in a world we don’t understand.
The Book of Why: The New Science of Cause and Effect
Author(s): Judea Pearl, Dana Mackenzie
First published: 2018
A Turing Award-winning computer scientist and statistician shows how understanding causality has revolutionized science and will revolutionize artificial intelligence.
Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Author(s): Philip E. Tetlock, Dan Gardner
First published: 2015
As Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed in a landmark 2005 study, even experts’ predictions are only slightly better than chance. However, an important and underreported conclusion of that study was that some experts do have real foresight, and Tetlock has spent the past decade trying to figure out why. What makes some people so good? And can this talent be taught?
Sway: The Irresistible Pull of Irrational Behavior
Author(s): Ori Brafman, Rom Brafman
First published: 2008
Why is it so difficult to sell a plummeting stock or end a doomed relationship? Why do we listen to advice just because it came from someone “important”? Why are we more likely to fall in love when there’s danger involved?
Thinking: The New Science of Decision-Making, Problem-Solving, and Prediction
Author(s): John Brockman (Editor)
First published: 2013
Original ideas by today’s leading psychologists, neuroscientists, and philosophers who are radically expanding our understanding of human thought.
Think Better: An Innovator’s Guide to Productive Thinking
Author(s): Tim Hurson
First published: 2007
How you can start with an intractable technical problem, an unmet consumer need, or a gaping chasm in your business strategy and, by following a clearly defined, practical thinking process, arrive at a robust, innovative solution.
Rational Choice in an Uncertain World: The Psychology of Judgement and Decision Making
Author(s): Reid Hastie, Robyn M. Dawes
First published: 1988
Renowned authors Hastie and Dawes compare the basic principles of rationality with actual behavior in making decisions.
Thinking and Deciding
Author(s): Jonathan Baron
First published: 1988
How should we think? What, if anything, keeps us from thinking that way? How can we improve our thinking and decision making?
Algorithms to Live By
Author(s):Brian Christian, Tom Griffiths
First published: 2016
A fascinating exploration of how insights from computer algorithms can be applied to our everyday lives, helping to solve common decision-making problems and illuminate the workings of the human mind.
The Art of Choosing
Author(s): Sheena Iyengar
First published: 2010
Whether mundane or life-altering, these choices define us and shape our lives. Sheena Iyengar asks the difficult questions about how and why we choose: Is the desire for choice innate or bound by culture? Why do we sometimes choose against our best interests? How much control do we really have over what we choose?
The Paradox of Choice: Why More Is Less
Author(s):Barry Schwartz
First published: 2004
A social critique of our obsession with choice, and how it contributes to anxiety, dissatisfaction and regret.
Thinking, Fast and Slow
Author(s): Daniel Kahneman
First published: 2011
A groundbreaking tour of the mind and explains the two systems that drive the way we think.
How We Decide
Author(s): Jonah Lehrer
First published: 2009
Our best decisions are a finely tuned blend of both feeling and reason-and the precise mix depends on the situation.
Sources of Power: How People Make Decisions
Author(s): Gary Klein
First published: 1998
Gary Klein is one of the developers of the naturalistic decision making approach, which views people as inherently skilled and experienced. It documents human strengths and capabilities that so far have been downplayed or ignored.
Rationality: From AI to Zombies
Author(s): Eliezer Yudkowsky
First published: 2015
Eliezer Yudkowsky explains the science underlying human irrationality with a mix of fables, argumentative essays, and personal vignettes.
A Whole New Mind: Why Right-Brainers Will Rule the Future
Author(s): Daniel H. Pink
First published: 2004
The future belongs to a different kind of person with a different kind of mind: artists, inventors, storytellers-creative and holistic “right-brain” thinkers whose abilities mark the fault line between who gets ahead and who doesn’t.
Smart Choices: A Practical Guide to Making Better Decisions
Author(s): John S. Hammond, Howard Raiffa, Ralph L. Keeney
First published: 1998
Where should I live? Is it time to switch careers? What is the best course of action for me?
Originally published at https://unearnedwisdom.com.
